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February 1, 2016, 8:49 pm

The Best Way To Learn Forex Trading Online

by: The Financial Blogger    Category: Investment, Market and Risk

Forex (foreign exchange) trading is one of the most lucrative ways of making money online. It involves buying and selling of commodities/currencies based on tiny variations (or gaining and losing) of the same to make profits. The commodities or currencies are traded in pairs from which he/she relies on economic data forecasts, and trends to make trades.

 

While forex trading is a straightforward investment, a proper understanding of the market and how to carry trades is needed to make profits. This is the reason forex trading brokers encourage newbies and anyone willing to start trading to open demo accounts and learn forex trading through practice before engaging in a live account.  Discussed below are a few methods and ways in which you can use while learning to trade online.

 

3 Important Steps To Learn Forex Trading

 

  1. Use practice accounts: Almost every forex broker allows both new and existing traders to open and use practice accounts also known as demo accounts. The demo account helps traders learn forex trading, new tricks and familiarize themselves with the actual trading platform. The best thing about using practice accounts is that you can run trades, make orders, or even learn how to stop loss without risking your money.

 

You can use the practice account to learn new tricks on how to make more money trading online, and determine what currencies to major on while trading.  Most people do not go past using practice accounts when training to become professional traders online.

 

  1. Signup with an online trading academy: This is considerably the best way to learn how to learn forex trading online.  These colleges employ trading experts to help mentor and train newbies into becoming qualified traders. Through these tutors, you get to learn most of the principles you would not be able to learn on your own such as leveraging returns, stop loss, interpreting financial graphs, and how to carry trades successfully. These academies also use live data and trading accounts to demonstrate how to make trades and many other principles related to the same.

 

Many of the successful trading experts have been through the hands of online trading academies. Although signing up with a training academy involves digging deeper into your pockets, this may be the only way to prevent massive losses as a trader.

 

  1. Look for a mentor: This is especially recommended for traders who taught themselves how to trade. It is through a mentor that you can learn forex trading fundamentals and tricks on how to make good money online. It would however be advisable to look for a trustworthy mentor and someone with experience in the same. You can find a mentor online on forex trading forums and blogs. Forums also pose a great avenue for anyone to learn new tricks on how to execute trades to increase profits and reduce risks. Signing up with these forums is recommended as well.

 

The first step to becoming a successful forex trader is by identifying platforms you are comfortable with while trading. It would however be advisable to try every available trading platform/software before choosing the best one is recommended. Some of the available trading platforms include meta traders, browser based trading platforms, and mobile platforms. It would also be advisable to choose the best forex trading broker to be successful as a trader.

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March 27, 2014, 5:04 am

Index Investing; Is It Always Better Than Mutual Funds?

by: The Financial Blogger    Category: Investment, Market and Risk

 

 

Sometimes, I have the feeling that people think that managing their investments is as easy as making a peanut butter sandwich in the morning…

 

From what I’ve read in the financial industry for the past ten years, high management fees (called MERs) charged on mutual funds hurt a small investor’s portfolio. In fact, if we look at the Canadian industry, most investors pay about 2% (and sometimes more!) to invest in mutual funds. In other words, if you invest $1,000 and your fund make 5%, you only earn $30. The other $20 is paid to the mutual fund company to cover their management fees (and the advisor selling the fund). When you think about it, this is a 40% commission based your investment return.

 

It gets worst: imagine if the fund you invest in dropped -5% during a bad market. Your statement shows -7% or a loss of $70. Mutual fund companies will get their 2% no matter what, the rest goes in (or out!) of your pocket.

 

Unfortunately, mutual funds were, for a long time, the only way one can diversify in multiple products (company shares or bonds) managed by professional in a single trade. An investor could buy one mutual fund including a part of safer investments (like bonds), Canadian companies along with American and international company shares. For someone who doesn’t know how to invest, mutual funds are expensive but do the job.

THE ETF REVOLUTION

 

As is the case in any industry; when a product is overpriced or shows high profit margins, other players come to the market to offer an alternative. The first player to come with an alternative to mutual funds was probably Vanguard, one of the first ETF firms in the US. ETFs (exchange traded funds) are another way to buy multiple stocks (or bonds) with one trade.

 

Explained simply, an ETF is a group of investment products (mostly company shares or bonds) representing a “basket”. For example, the ETF iShares S&P/TSX 60 (XIU on the stock market) represents the 60 biggest companies traded on the Canadian market (the TSX). Someone buying 1 unit of XIU is buying a basket containing the 60 biggest companies traded on the Canadian market. He doesn’t have to know them, he doesn’t even have to manage them in his portfolio, the ETF does it all for him.

 

What’s the difference between buying a Canadian stock mutual fund or the XIU? About 2% in management fees! While most Canadian stock mutual funds will charge over 2% in management fees, the XIU fees are set at 0.18% (source ishares.com). Therefore, the portfolio manager taking care of the mutual fund must outperform the ETF by 2% before generating $1 for the investor. Here’s a quick example:

Investment Fees Investment Return Net Return $1000 Invested
Mutual Fund

2.18%

5%

2.82%

$28.20

XIU

0.18%

5%

4.82%

$48.20

 

As you can see, there is a big discrepancy between the mutual fund and the ETF even if they show the same investment return (before fees).

 

SO WHY DO PEOPLE STILL INVEST IN MUTUAL FUNDS THESE DAYS?

 

Here’s my answer: because it’s harder to manage your portfolio than it is to make peanut butter sandwiches!

 

Then, some people will suggest a “coach potato” investing style. The coach potato approach is to select a few ETF indexes that reflects your risk tolerance. Let’s say you want a balanced portfolio (roughly 50% in the stock market and 50% in bonds). You could build a portfolio with only 4 ETFS:

50% in a bond ETF replicating the DEX universe (Canadian bonds in general)

25% in an ETF tracking Canadian stocks

15% in an ETF tracking US stocks

10% in an ETF tracking International stocks

 

I agree that pretty much anybody with a calculator, a sheet of paper and a pen can build such portfolio. Then, you rebalance your portfolio twice a year to make sure you always show the same % (sell high, buy low). That’s a pretty effective method to manage your portfolio and track your investment return to the markets (95% of portfolio managers don’t beat their benchmark on the 5 year return). On top of this, your management fee is under 0.50%… this is at least 1.50% cheaper than the same investment in a mutual fund. If you invest $100K in this portfolio, you save $1,500 per year just in fees!

 

But it’s not that easy. Nope: managing your portfolio is not that easy.

 

HERE’S WHAT HAPPEN WHEN THE GAME CHANGES

 

Last years, bonds were paying a ridiculously low interest rate and bonds started to lose value upon the rise in interest rates. This is why XBB (a Canadian ETF tracking bonds) shows a negative return of -2.37% over the past 12 months. Add the bond interest rate paid by this ETF (3.26%), you get a small investment return of 0.89%.

 

How can you explain that most mutual funds did better with their fixed income (bond) portion? After a good talk with a friend of mine who’s a super fan of ETF investing, I noticed that his bond performance weren’t that great over the past 3 years. This was mainly explained by the poor Canadian bond returns.

 

At first, I assumed it was the same environment for everybody… until I checked a few mutual funds performance records. Most mutual funds show better returns during the same period… how can this be possible? It’s not because portfolio managers were better. It’s because they included other classes in their fixed income portfolio such as high yield bonds, international bonds and US bonds. This is how, for the past 3 years, mutual funds are able to beat a classic coach potato portfolio: because they include several other investment classes.

 

YEAH… BUT YOU CAN REPLICATE THE SAME MODEL WITH ETFs

 

It is true that if you had replicated the exact same model with 8 or 10 ETFs, you would probably have beaten the mutual fund. But here’s the thing: who is going to tell you how to make such a portfolio if you adopt a coach potato investment style? Not your online broker, he simply performs the trades. Not your advisor because you don’t have any. Your neighbor? Maybe.

 

I guess now you can see where the problem with ETF investing lies: you still need a good financial background to build and manage your portfolio. If you do it only after reading a few books, chances are that your investment returns will be lower than mutual funds even after their huge fees.

 

I wouldn’t risk opening the hood of my car to start working on the engine to solve a problem, I wonder why people think it’s that easy to invest money…

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July 9, 2012, 5:30 am

Stock Picking Contest Q2

by: The Financial Blogger    Category: Investing Ideas,Investment, Market and Risk

 

 

Wow…. Q2 was far from looking as good as Q1 on the market, huh? It’s interesting to see how fast the market can move based on a few bad news. I know… bad news coming from Europe are pretty bad. But still, most companies are making good money right now. Their value is still going down for no specific reason…

 

I’m getting dragged down by one of my pick after a disastrous first quarter; VNP continues its plunge to Neverland (as I’m never taking another gamble on the stock market!). Here’s the resume of my four picks:

 

National Bank – NA

National Bank is, once again, posting strong results during their last quarter. They also announced a dividend increase along with a repurchase program. In addition to that, they have been ranked 5th world most secured bank by Bloomberg. It’s definitely I truly feel that NA will be a good stock to hold for many years. It’s not doing much lately as the market is pretty bad. However, the dividend helps to be patient while the fundamentals are definitely there. National Bank is also showing the smaller P/E ratio among other Canadian banks :-D.

 

5N Plus – VNP

Argh! After a bad quarter, the management thought it would be a good idea to dilute shares with a new issuing. It had a catastrophic impact on the stock and we are now down by more than 50%! At least, their first Quarter of 2012 was showing positive earnings. They went from losing $0.54 per share to making $0.07 per share. Let’s hope that the next financial reports will be positive!

 

Intel – INTC

Another solid pick to go through the stock market storm as INTC is reporting strong results and steady dividend growth. I also like the fact that they are gradually entering into more partnership linked to tablets and Smartphone. This was their Achilles’ Heel as they are very strong in the computer environment. However, the growth is now coming from smaller gadgets J.

Chevron – CVX

Chevron is suffering from the oil barrel roller coaster value. Nonetheless, they continue to post strong financial results and dividend raise too. Can you the pattern with my 3 picks that are keeping their heads over the water? they all pay strong dividend. In a highly volatile market such as this one, it’s definitely the best place to invest!

 

And the results are….

 

Just click on the blogger’s name to read his article:

 

Where All Does My Money Go 13.34%

Intelligent Speculator                    12.25%

Dividend Mantra                             6.78%

Dividend Growth Investor          4.89%

Million Dollar Journey                   0.69%

My Traders Journal                        -1.37%

Passive Income Earner                 -5.65%

Wild Investor                                    -7.73%

The Financial Blogger                    -13.15%

Beating The Index                          -26.55%

 

Disclaimer: I’m long NA, VNP, INTC & CVX.

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April 2, 2012, 5:00 am

Best Stock Picks 2012 Contest Q1 Update

by: The Financial Blogger    Category: Investment, Market and Risk

2012 Best Stock Pick: Last Place is All Mine!

 

Each year, a few bloggers including myself participate in a friendly stock picking competition. The goal is to pick 4 stocks for the year and hope that our little portfolio will do better than everyone else’s. We can pick stocks from both the Canadian and US markets and ETFs are accepted as well. On the other hand, during the year no trades are allowed.

 

I have a weird feeling that history is repeating itself again this year: I’m last because of a single bad pick… Should I say “bad”? not yet. But I can’t say that it was a good move for Q1! Let’s take a look at what went well and what sucked in Q1 for my 2012 best stock picking contest:

 

National Bank – NA (TSE) +11.05%

 

The National stock has been good to me for the past 3 years. In fact, since December 2008 (when the stock was at $25), it has never stopped surging. We are now over $80 and the dividend keeps on increasing. The best part is that I think the best is yet to come for this small bank from Quebec. They have made several important moves over the last 2 years while investing massively in technology improvements.  Disclaimer: I am long NA.

 

5N Plus – VNP (TSE) –29.04%

During my stock picking session, I mentioned that VNP could be one of the best 2012 Canadian Stocks. The company is solid and evolves as a leader in its niche. The problem is that they might have taken a bite into something they can’t swallow. For the first time this Quarter, they have reported losses. Very poor timing is behind these losses: important acquisitions last year, economic problems in Europe and a slowdown in the solar industry due to the potential threat of a recession. I hope that the next quarter will be better, if not, I will most likely drop this stock upon their 2nd financial report. Disclaimer: I’m long VNP too.

 

Intel – INTC (NASDAQ) + 16.85%

INTC has been a rising star in my portfolio since I bought it back in August 2011. They show great innovative power and dominate their market like no other. Their Achilles Heel is related to their difficulties in entering the smart phone and tablet markets with their chips. The good news is that they recently gained market share in this niche as well. I’m expecting INTC to continue to soar until the end of 2012. Disclaimer: I’m long INTC as well.

 

Chevron – CVX (NYSE) +1.54%

 

CVX was my “defensive play” for this year’s contest. I’m not expecting CVX to grow like crazy but I think that a strong dividend combined with a hiking price of oil is never a bad idea in a portfolio! You can’t expect much from a big boat like CVX if not to expect a steady growth. This is exactly what I expect CVX to do. So far, if I include CVX dividend yield, the stock is doing okay but it’s lagging as compared to the stock market. Let’s hope they will post strong profits throughout the year! Disclaimer: I’m long CVX.

 

2012 Best Stock Pick Ranking:

 

I know… I’m in last place… but still, I’m in positive territory. Look at the return of the other bloggers, it’s quite impressive (click on their name to read their article):

 

Where Does All My Money Go?: 35.91%

Intelligent Speculator: 16.37%

Dividend Mantra: 13.71%

Wild Investor: 11.78%

My Traders Journal: 11.17%

Beating the Index: 10.87%

Million Dollar Journey: 7.84%

The Passive Income Earner: 4.77%

Dividend Growth Investor: 4.43%

The Financial Blogger: 0.10%

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March 6, 2012, 5:00 am

Investing Sucks, Blogging Rules

by: The Financial Blogger    Category: Alternative Income,Investing Ideas,Investment, Market and Risk

 

 

A few weeks earlier, my partner sent me an email telling me how interesting it would be to write an article about the difference between dividend investing and making money online. He thought it would be fun as I’m a big fan of both dividend stocks and making money blogging. But there is a law out there that says that great minds think alike. Well if I’d do my post today ignoring this law, I would have to ignore Dividend Ninja’s guest article on Young & Thrifty: Website Income Vs Dividend Stocks: Which One Come Out On Top?

 

I was stunned that someone had the same idea but was 10 times faster than me to write an excellent article ;-). My comments on the site were that I thought it would be easier to make money through dividend investing than through a website. But this is for Mr and Mrs anybody. But what I didn’t say is:

If you know what you are doing; you will make a LOT more money through websites than through investing!

 

You want to know why? Here are a few reasons:

 

#1 Growth Potential is Bigger With a Website

The growth potential with a company is usually pretty limited compared to the growth coming from a website. The main reason is that the company being listed on the stock market has already grown for several years before issuing its first IPO. Therefore, you are buying a company that has already gone through its most beautiful growth years. For example, private investors that were able to invest in Google in Year 1 or 2 would have made 100000% on their investment as compared to those who got into the stock after its first IPO. The same story is about to repeat with Facebook in a few months. I doubt that FB will see such incredible growth in the upcoming years. Now, you can expect a double digit growth (that is still interesting) but you’ll never see triple, 4 or 5 digit growth as it has in the past.

 

The potential growth is usually even worse for dividend stocks. In order to be able to pay dividends, a company must be stable and also willing to sacrifice a part of its growth potential since it is distributing cash flow to its investors instead of using this money to grow even faster.

 

On the other hand, a website is usually a very small property. And what do all small properties have in common? They have a huge potential for growth! So this is whyUSgrowth is slower thanChina’s. This is also why my son learns more things and learns them faster than me ;-). Websites have this potential to grow by 20% each year for several years. Just take my company’s revenue since I started:

2008: $9,459

2009: $33,412 (+253%)

2010: $74,854 (I’m excluding important sales in this year) (+124%)

2011: $114,158 (+52%)

 

#2 ROI is Higher With a Website

 

I’ve recently mentioned that you can buy a major website for 36 times the monthly income. Some people told me that I was a nutcase. Fine. But when you think about it, this is some incredible return on investment! Forget the blogger’s or pity individuals’ perspectives for a moment and focus on an investor point of view: You have $50,000 to invest. Your first option is to buy a stock (or a group of stocks) paying a 4% dividend. This will generate a $2,000 dividend payout each year + the potential of seeing your portfolio grow over time. If you are a top notch investor, you will most likely get a 8% investment return over the long run (4% dividend + 4% in capital gains).

 

Why do I count only 4% in capital return? Because, historically, the stock market shows an investment yield of 9% (before fees and taxes). So unless you are the next Warren Buffet, you won’t be able to score over 8% after a period of 5 – 10 years. The main reason why you can’t score higher is due to the lack of information and comprehension. You are limited to your own little brain reading financial statements. You are not in the company, not managing the business and don’t have the feel of the company.

 

Now, consider a second investment proposition and look at a blog or a group of blogs to be bought for $50,000. At 36 times the monthly income (and you are not getting a deal at that price!), you will get a yearly dividend of $16,666. This is more than EIGHT TIMES your dividend investment. The best part is that you can expect a much higher growth from the value and income generated from the same sites due to the reasons explained in point #1.

 

The only thing to consider is that you need to spend time to manage the website. But technically, a minimum of 5 hours per week would be enough to keep the revenue as is. Therefore, if you “pay yourself” $25/hour, you are now down to a “dividend” of $10,166 per year. This is the same as a 20% dividend yield. Even better, if you are smart enough, you’ll find someone that you will pay $125/week to manage the site for you. I can send you a few names of good bloggers that would be glad to it ;-).

 

#3 You Have a Better Risk Assessment With Websites

 

As I previously mentioned, you don’t get hold of every single little detail about each stock you own. You can read the financial statements but you can’t get in touch with every CEO to know what is truly going on within the companies’ walls.

 

This is something you can do when you own your site. You get access to all the stats and can see in a heartbeat if there is any problem with it. Better knowledge leads to better risk assessment. On the other hand, if you don’t know what you do with websites, this can be highly dangerous too! Always invest in something that you understand, says Buffett!

 

Where would you put your next $10,000?

 

I’ve been telling you that investment sucks during the whole article but it doesn’t mean that I don’t invest in the stock market. In fact, I’m maximizing my RRSP account each year because I think it is good to have a great diversification across all your assets. But to be honest, my RRSP account is my “B plan” along with my company shares. So if I have another $10,000, guess where I would put it ;-). But what about you? What would you do with $10,000?

 

 

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